Lula da Silva, candidate for re-election from the Workers' Party (PT), and Flávio Diconcini, candidate from the Liberal Party (PL), are tied at 50% in valid votes according to recent polls by PoderData/Aya, released nine days before the second round of the 2026 election. The data indicates a closely contested race with no clear leader.
The Workers' Party has faced internal pressure over its stance on criminal responsibility for minors in heinous crimes. Lula has supported lowering the age of criminal responsibility to 16 for such crimes, a position that has drawn criticism from opponents. Meanwhile, Flávio has mocked the PT's shift on this issue, highlighting a growing divide between the two candidates.
The political landscape has been further complicated by the suspension of propaganda linking Flávio to militias, as ordered by Minister André Mendonça of the Electoral Justice. This move has sparked debates over the influence of political groups and the role of media in shaping public opinion.
In addition, Lula has faced threats of violence and torture from online users who oppose his re-election campaign. These incidents have raised concerns about the safety of political activists and the use of social media as a platform for political mobilization.
The election, which will take place on October 25, remains uncertain as both candidates continue to campaign. The outcome could have significant implications for Brazil's political direction and social policies in the coming years.
